Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.235425 0.271972 0.312124 0.359485 0.413801 0.474122 0.546179
2024-10-20 0.183044 0.231670 0.289906 0.364690 0.458088 0.570798 0.717083
2024-10-27 0.139219 0.191670 0.259668 0.354050 0.481438 0.647187 0.879038
2024-11-03 0.114927 0.171024 0.249259 0.365887 0.534878 0.770344 1.122860
2024-11-10 0.096802 0.154864 0.241516 0.379514 0.592969 0.909668 1.414169
2024-11-17 0.079468 0.136096 0.226157 0.378728 0.629545 1.024023 1.689605
2024-11-24 0.065710 0.119973 0.211573 0.375978 0.662018 1.136898 1.981908
2024-12-01 0.055194 0.107027 0.199560 0.374863 0.696427 1.257812 2.307255
2024-12-08 0.047167 0.096805 0.190207 0.376362 0.735147 1.391578 2.676315
2024-12-15 0.041528 0.089909 0.185552 0.385443 0.788907 1.560002 3.134853
2024-12-22 0.035706 0.081390 0.176093 0.383253 0.820280 1.691045 3.543145
2024-12-29 0.031972 0.076492 0.172991 0.393283 0.877587 1.880716 4.096409
2025-01-05 0.027408 0.068892 0.162979 0.387274 0.901418 2.008899 4.549949
2025-01-12 0.024422 0.064346 0.158884 0.393721 0.953756 2.205579 5.182758
2025-01-19 0.020824 0.057505 0.148179 0.382821 0.964788 2.314160 5.639130
2025-01-26 0.019068 0.055009 0.147471 0.395988 1.035148 2.568069 6.470694
2025-02-02 0.017595 0.052951 0.147476 0.410982 1.112728 2.851146 7.417411
2025-02-09 0.015620 0.049039 0.141888 0.410323 1.150435 3.043846 8.173795
2025-02-16 0.013831 0.045257 0.135913 0.407479 1.181929 3.226057 8.933303
2025-02-23 0.012341 0.042039 0.130890 0.406360 1.217992 3.425782 9.770977
2025-03-02 0.011127 0.039412 0.127074 0.408041 1.262329 3.654536 10.723727
2025-03-09 0.010282 0.037806 0.126031 0.417905 1.332331 3.964466 11.950713
2025-03-16 0.009219 0.035198 0.121342 0.415564 1.365466 4.176249 12.932801